Timothy Randhir Addresses Surprises in Water Resource Management

Courtesy: UMass News & Media Relations Contact: Timothy Randhir 413/545-3969 AMHERST, Mass. – Surprise and uncertainty are becoming more common in water resource planning, says University of Massachusetts Amherst water resource researcher Timothy Randhir, and there is a need for new approaches. Now he and colleagues propose dusting off a “surprise potential framework” developed decades ago that they say is nevertheless well suited to decision-making when few facts are available. “A recent example is the situation where Cape Town, South Africa, is running out of water unexpectedly quickly,” first author Randhir points out. “Another example is Hurricane Katrina, a situation where we had no prior event on that scale to help us plan for it.” As he explains, the “Shackle, Vickers and Katzner” (SVK) framework was developed in the 1970s and 1980s and is “a totally different approach than is used in most situations today, but it can be very useful in situations where you don’t have a lot of data. This will be more important...
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